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19,409 mercados abiertos
Next Kimi K model (3.2+) released by...?
  • February 2862%Sí
  • December 3143%Sí
Tecnología1 mar.
Plague declared public health emergency by...?
  • December 312%Sí
  • November 302%Sí
Tecnología1 ene.
Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
  • 42%+67%Sí
  • 45%+65%Sí
  • 50%+36%Sí
Tecnología1 ene.
Which company has the best Image Edit AI end of November?
  • OpenAI67%Sí
  • Company B50%Sí
  • Company G50%Sí
Tecnología1 dic.
Which AI labs announce a training pause by October 31?
  • Anthropic24%Sí
  • Mistral13%Sí
  • Alibaba10%Sí
Tecnología1 nov.
Next Fable Model (5.2+): Humanity's Last Exam Debut?
  • 50%+98%Sí
  • 55%+78%Sí
  • 60%+25%Sí
Tecnología1 jul.
Which company has the best Image-to-Video AI end of November?
  • MiniMax70%Sí
  • Company H50%Sí
  • Company E50%Sí
Tecnología1 dic.
How many SpaceX launches in 2026?
  • 140-15976%Sí
  • 120-13914%Sí
  • 180-1996%Sí
Tecnología1 ene.
Next Claude Opus Model (5.6+): Text Arena Debut?
  • 1510+84%Sí
  • 1520+61%Sí
  • 1530+31%Sí
Tecnología1 jul.
Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of November?
  • Anthropic60%Sí
  • Company L50%Sí
  • Company G50%Sí
Tecnología1 dic.
Who will launch a Muse-like personal agent before 2027?
  • Anthropic97%Sí
  • Microsoft42%Sí
  • Perplexity23%Sí
Tecnología1 ene.
OpenRouter AI token usage Oct 26 to Nov 22?
  • 775T+65%Sí
  • 725-775T29%Sí
  • 675-725T5%Sí
Tecnología23 nov.
Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of November?
  • Company F50%Sí
  • Company G50%Sí
  • Company B50%Sí
Tecnología1 dic.
Natural Disaster in 2026?
13%probabilidad
Sí13¢No87¢
Tecnología1 mar.
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by ___?
  • December 31, 202837%Sí
  • December 31, 202714%Sí
  • December 31, 20266%Sí
Tecnología1 ene.
Top 5 Most Searched TV Shows on Google 2026
  • A Knight of the Seven Kingdoms67%Sí
  • Euphoria61%Sí
  • Monster: The Lizzie Borden Story50%Sí
Tecnología1 ene.
#1 Searched TV Show on Google 2026?
  • Show G50%Sí
  • Show V50%Sí
  • Show E50%Sí
Tecnología1 abr.
OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to another Millennium Prize?
62%probabilidad
OpenAI62¢Anthropic38¢
Tecnología1 ene.
Next Claude Sonnet (5.6+) released by...?
  • January 3152%Sí
  • December 3136%Sí
Tecnología1 feb.
Which AI labs commit to third party vetting by October 31?
  • Microsoft17%Sí
  • SpaceXAI11%Sí
  • Google10%Sí
Tecnología1 nov.
Moonshot publishes Kimi K3.1 Pro weights by November 4?
90%probabilidad
Sí90¢No10¢
Tecnología5 nov.
What will Claude Fable's output token price hit in 2026?
  • ↓ $4550%Sí
  • ↓ $4047%Sí
  • ↑ $5518%Sí
Tecnología1 ene.
Measles cases in U.S. by October 31?
  • 4700+87%Sí
  • 4800+51%Sí
  • 4900+11%Sí
Tecnología1 nov.
Which company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of November?
  • Google73%Sí
  • Company G50%Sí
  • Company E50%Sí
Tecnología1 dic.
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