Todos los mercados
19,287 mercados abiertos
Which AI labs announce a full training pause in 2026?- Meta14%Sí
- ByteDance14%Sí
- DeepSeek14%Sí
Tecnología1 ene.
Frontier AI labs announce joint pacing agreement in 2026?40%probabilidad
Sí40¢No60¢
Tecnología1 ene.
Chopsticks catch a Starship upper stage by...?1%probabilidad
Sí1¢No99¢
Tecnología1 nov.
Claude Opus 5.6+: Output Token Price Debut?- $20+68%Sí
- $15+64%Sí
- $50+3%Sí
Tecnología1 jul.
Anthropic reports another AI sandbox escape by...?18%probabilidad
Sí18¢No82¢
Tecnología1 nov.
Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?3%probabilidad
Sí3¢No97¢
Tecnología1 ene.
Gemini Spark on the free plan by...?- December 3142%Sí
- October 311%Sí
Tecnología1 ene.
Phoebe Gates arrested by December 31?3%probabilidad
Sí3¢No97¢
Tecnología1 ene.
Will Apple stop selling MacBook Neo?6%probabilidad
Sí6¢No94¢
Tecnología1 ene.
GitHub Git Operations critical incident by...?28%probabilidad
Sí28¢No72¢
Tecnología1 nov.
Will Argentina make Peter Thiel a citizen by December 31?12%probabilidad
Sí12¢No88¢
Tecnología1 ene.
Next Mistral Small (4.1+) released by...?- February 2885%Sí
- December 3141%Sí
Tecnología1 mar.
Will Disney+ Reach 150 million total users by September?29%probabilidad
Sí29¢No71¢
Tecnología1 ene.
OpenAI retracts Navier-Stokes solution in 2026?7%probabilidad
Sí7¢No93¢
Tecnología1 ene.
Another Elon baby by December 31?11%probabilidad
Sí11¢No89¢
Tecnología1 ene.
ChatGPT Outage by...?- November 1583%Sí
- October 3151%Sí
Tecnología16 nov.
AI artwork hits $10M at major auction in 2026?6%probabilidad
Sí6¢No94¢
Tecnología1 ene.
Next Mistral Large (4.1+) released by...?- March 3156%Sí
- January 3140%Sí
Tecnología1 abr.
Will Jerome Powell join an AI company in 2026?2%probabilidad
Sí2¢No98¢
Tecnología1 ene.
Next Mistral Medium (3.6+) released by...?- January 3159%Sí
- November 3043%Sí
Tecnología1 feb.
Will Jeff Bezos go to space before 2028?26%probabilidad
Sí26¢No74¢
Tecnología1 ene.
Next GPT Image Model (2.6+) released by...?- December 3160%Sí
- January 3159%Sí
Tecnología1 feb.
OpenAI retracts Navier-Stokes solution in 2026?6%probabilidad
Sí6¢No94¢
Tecnología1 ene.
Uber Eats First Zipline Drone Delivery by...?- December 3174%Sí
- November 3053%Sí
- October 3150%Sí
Tecnología1 ene.