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18,788 mercados abiertos
Anyone charged over Wedgewood fake polls by June 30, 2027?52%probabilidad
Sí52¢No48¢
Política1 jul.
Israel Election: Likud or Yashar in Government?46%probabilidad
Likud46¢Yashar54¢
Política1 mar.
Haiti elections delayed again?66%probabilidad
Sí66¢No34¢
Política19 jul.
NATO downs another Russian drone by...?- November 3074%Sí
- November 1549%Sí
- October 3110%Sí
Política1 dic.
KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?5%probabilidad
Sí5¢No95¢
Política1 ene.
Somaliland Parliamentary Election Winner- No election before 202795%Sí
- Waddani3%Sí
- Justice and Welfare (UCID)3%Sí
Política1 abr.
OPEC dissolves in 2026?2%probabilidad
Sí2¢No98¢
Política1 ene.
Arequipa Mayoral Election Winner- Manuel Enrique Vera Paredes66%Sí
- Person G50%Sí
- Person M50%Sí
Política5 oct.
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? 8%probabilidad
Sí8¢No92¢
Política1 ene.
FL-04 House Election Margin of Victory- Person B50%Sí
- Other50%Sí
- Person A50%Sí
Política4 nov.
ACA credits extended & House Winner 2026?- Not Extended & Democratic Party94%Sí
- Not Extended & Republican Party7%Sí
- Other—Sí
Política4 nov.
Will Argentina dollarize by...?2%probabilidad
Sí2¢No98¢
Política1 ene.
Will any US Federal or Statewide Midterm Election be within 0.01%?12%probabilidad
Sí12¢No88¢
Política4 nov.
NC-14 House Election Margin of Victory- Person A50%Sí
- Other50%Sí
- Person B50%Sí
Política4 nov.
PA-01 House Election Margin of Victory- Person B50%Sí
- Other50%Sí
- Person A50%Sí
Política4 nov.
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by...?5%probabilidad
Sí5¢No95¢
Política1 ene.
UT-04 House Election Winner- Mike Kennedy (R)95%Sí
- Jonny Larsen (D)3%Sí
- B—Sí
Política4 nov.
Will Russia capture Havrylivka by...?5%probabilidad
Sí5¢No95¢
Política1 ene.
IL-17 House Election Margin of Victory- Person B50%Sí
- Other50%Sí
- Person A50%Sí
Política4 nov.
Nicușor Dan out as President of Romania in 2026?5%probabilidad
Sí5¢No95¢
Política1 ene.
Will Trump meet with Marcos by December 31, 2026?95%probabilidad
Sí95¢No5¢
Política1 ene.
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?3%probabilidad
Sí3¢No97¢
Política1 ene.
Epstein client list released by...?- October 314%Sí
- December 31—Sí
Política1 ene.
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by...?3%probabilidad
Sí3¢No97¢
Política1 ene.